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Climate Science + Climate Change icon
Climate Science + Climate Change

Global warming and the climate chaos it causes are the existential environmental and economic issues of our time. Evidence that climate change is well underway abounds on every continent, making it essential to hone humanity’s ability to monitor Earth’s dynamic systems – further developing understanding of how the climate has changed over time and informing our ability to manages the impacts of climate change now and in the future. Through advanced computing, scientists can develop complex climate models, assess the vulnerability of natural and human systems to climate change scenarios and estimate the impact of various impact mitigation solutions, policies and strategies.

MPP researchers are studying, measuring and modeling the system dynamics of climate, weather, biosphere, ocean and near-space. This research advances the development of sustainable climate mitigation and resilience solutions.

Funded Projects

  • Calls: 2025 Call for Seed Grant Proposals

    Research Areas: Climate Science + Climate Change

    Abstract

    Tropical forests regulate Earth’s climate, yet deforestation, mega-droughts, windthrows, seed-dispersal collapse and runaway fires threaten to push them beyond tipping points. We will fuse high-resolution remote-sensing data, causal machine-learning and resampling of legacy plots to pinpoint where and why these thresholds are crossed. A “twin-forest paradox” design—Amazonia’s declining sink versus Africa’s stable counterpart (Fig. 1)—isolates the disturbance combinations that flip forests from sink to source. Soil re-cores of 40 Amazon plots, first sampled two decades ago, will be isotopically analysed at INIAV laboratories in Portugal to test whether stressed soils buffer or amplify canopy loss. The project will result in driver-resolved early-warning indicators and a public dashboard ready for climate modeling and REDD+ accounting. Portuguese partners within the TERRA network contribute Europe’s burn-scar atlas, fire-physics labs and Copernicus cloud, ensuring Amazon-derived alerts translate directly into wildfire-resilient management of Mediterranean pine and eucalyptus landscapes.

    MIT PI
    Cesar Terrer, Associate Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering

    PT PI
    José Miguel C. Pereira, Professor, Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon.
    Ruben Heleno, Associate Professor, Centre for Functional Ecology, University of Coimbra

  • Calls: 2024 @PT Call for Exploratory Proposals

    Research Areas: Climate Science + Climate Change

    Abstract

    Climate change is a global challenge that transcends borders, affecting ecosystems, communities, and economies worldwide. It disrupts natural resources, increases vulnerability to extreme weather events, and imposes rising costs on infrastructure and disaster recovery. Human activities—primarily greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from carbon dioxide (CO₂)—are the main drivers, altering Earth’s climate balance. Cities generate over 70% of global emissions, a share set to rise as urban populations hit 68% by 2050.

    Mitigating climate change demands urgent, collective action. Many cities have pledged carbon neutrality, yet achieving this goal is complex. Alongside emission reductions through infrastructure upgrades, strategies must also remove CO₂ already present in the atmosphere. Nature-based solutions (NBS)—approaches inspired and supported by nature—are recognized as cost-effective tools for carbon sequestration. However, their deployment is hindered by the lack of systematic, spatially detailed frameworks that guide selection, allocation, and communication of benefits.
    GreenCities seeks to accelerate urban climate neutrality by creating a scalable, evidence-based framework for integrating NBS into city planning. This framework will assist authorities, communities, and stakeholders in promoting large-scale NBS adoption. It builds on three components: (i) Fine-scale spatial analysis of emissions from critical economic sectors; (ii) Scientific evidence of the effectiveness of urban green infrastructure (GI) as NBS for carbon reduction; and (iii) Targeted spatial allocation of NBS interventions to emission hotspots.

    GreenCities will generate spatially explicit CO₂ maps from annual databases, identifying hotspots across sectors and prioritizing intervention areas. Urban GI (e.g. parks, forests, and green corridors) offers significant sequestration potential, yet research often overlooks soil carbon storage and urban-specific dynamics. GreenCities will address these gaps by assessing the carbon storage potential of various GI types, in both vegetation and soil reservoirs, and examining soil carbon flux dynamics. Advanced methods, including remote sensing, field data, and machine learning, will support this effort.

    The project will deliver actionable recommendations for scaling NBS, focusing on hotspots while considering local socio-economic and physical contexts. By prioritizing suitable sites, GreenCities aims to maximize co-benefits, such as equitable green space access and long-term sustainability.
    Using Coimbra, Portugal—a mid-sized European city committed to carbon neutrality—as a case study, GreenCities will validate the framework by tailoring emission reduction strategies and assessing the carbon mitigation impacts of NBS. The project will develop a GIS-based decision-support tool that integrates environmental and socio-economic data to guide stakeholders in optimizing GI planning. This tool will provide spatially explicit recommendations for scaling up GI interventions.

    PT PIs
    Carla Sofia Santos Ferreira, Instituto Politécnico de Coimbra

    MIT PIs
    Cong Cong, Department of Urban Studies and Planning, MIT

  • Calls: 2024 @PT Call for Exploratory Proposals

    Research Areas: Climate Science + Climate Change

    Abstract

    The global climate crisis demands innovative solutions to accelerate the transition to renewable energy sources, with photovoltaics (PV) playing a pivotal role. Among emerging technologies, chalcogenide perovskites have shown immense promise as sustainable, high-performance alternatives to lead-based perovskites. BaZr(S,Se)3 (BZSSe), a member of this material family, exhibits strong optical absorption, thermal stability, and bandgap tunability, making it a compelling candidate for next-generation PV applications. However, critical knowledge gaps remain regarding its nanoscale electronic behavior, surface stability, and suitability for device integration, which this project aims to address.

    The project leverages advanced thin-film samples of BZSSe provided by MIT, produced using molecular beam epitaxy with precise control of the sulfur-to-selenium (S-to-Se) ratio. These samples enable systematic investigation of the material’s optoelectronic and surface properties. In addition, INL brings expertise in advanced scanning probe microscopy (SPM) techniques such as conductive atomic force microscopy (c-AFM) and Kelvin probe force microscopy (KPFM). These tools will provide high-resolution insights into charge carrier behavior, surface states, and defect characteristics.

    The project is organized into two main tasks. First, the bulk properties of BZSSe thin films will be characterized to assess the impact of the S-to-Se ratio and preparation methods on charge transport properties. Second, surface behavior under environmental exposure will be studied to evaluate the effect of air-induced native oxide layers and light-driven processes on charge carrier dynamics. The correlation of surface photovoltage spectroscopy (SPV) with c-AFM will further elucidate the material’s response to light at the nanoscale, offering critical insights into potential challenges for photovoltaic device applications.

    The novelty of this work lies in its focus on BZSSe, a chalcogenide perovskite with unique structural and optoelectronic properties, and its comprehensive analysis of both bulk and surface phenomena. The project is expected to advance understanding of BZSSe stability and electronic properties, informing future device engineering strategies. Ultimately, this research seeks to accelerate the development of chalcogenide perovskites as high-performance active layers for PV devices, advancing the global transition to sustainable energy and addressing critical climate challenges.

    PT PIs
    Sascha Sadewasser, Laboratório Ibérico Internacional de Nanotecnologias (INL)

    MIT PIs
    Rafael Jaramillo, Department of Materials Science and Engineering, MIT

Posters

  • Events:  2023 Annual Conference
    Research Area: 
    Climate Science + Climate Change
    Tiago F. R. Ribeiro
  • Events:  2022 Annual Conference
    Research Area: 
    Climate Science + Climate Change
    Annick Dewald
  • Events:  2024 Annual Conference: Research that Impacts Society
    Research Area: 
    Climate Science + Climate Change
    Beatriz Biguino

PhD Students

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    Adrian Krezlik

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Albano Martins

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Amir Gholipour

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Ana Filipa Duarte

    Portugal
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    André Alves

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    André Claro

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Andrea Tarazona

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Andreina Zerega

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Annalaura Vuoto

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Arturo Sousa

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Beatriz Biguino

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Carlos Hernandez

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Catarina Santos

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Cauê Rios

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Constantino Justo

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Erany Constantino

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Filipa Corais

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Isabel Pereira

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Joana Fernandes

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Joana Martins

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Joana Príncipe

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    João Faria

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    João Rocha

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Lázaro Costa

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Leandro Madureira

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Livia Tavares Cosentino

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Luana Tesch

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Marcos Tenente

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Maryam Salati

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Matilde Marques

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Maurício Bonatte

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Miguel Fernandes

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Miguel Lima

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Nazanin Azimi Fereidani

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Paolo Tufoni

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Raquel Fernandes

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Raul Emilio Fretes

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Rita Dantas

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Saeid Lotfi

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Samruddha Kokare

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Sara Aparício

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Sara Caroline Bona

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Sara Parece

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Sérgio Fernandes

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Simone Fernandes

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Tiago Ermitão

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Tiago Mindrico

    PhD Student

    Portugal
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    Willian Weber de Melo

    PhD Student

    Portugal

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